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Eur J Cardiothorac Surg 2002;22:101-105
© 2002 Elsevier Science NL


Validation of European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation (EuroSCORE) in North American cardiac surgery

Samer A.M. Nashefa,1*, Francois Roquesb,,1, Bradley G. Hammillc, Eric D. Petersonc, Philippe Micheld,,1, Frederick L. Grovere, Richard K.H. Wysee,f, T. Bruce Fergusone

a Cardiothoracic Surgical Unit, Papworth Hospital, Papworth Everard, Cambridge CB3 8RE, UK
b CHU Fort-de-France, Martinique, France
c Dukes Clinical Research Institute, Durham, NC, USA
d CCECQA 12 rue Dubernat, 33404 Talence cedex, France
e The Society of Thoracic Surgeons National Database, London, UK
f Department of Cardiac Surgery, Hammersmith Hospital, London, UK

Received 17 September 2001; received in revised form 8 March 2002; accepted 25 March 2002.

* Corresponding author. Tel.: +44-1480-364-299; fax: +44-1480-364-744
e-mail: sam.nashef{at}euroscore.org

Objective: To assess the performance of the European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation (EuroSCORE) when applied in a North American cardiac surgical population. Methods: The simple additive EuroSCORE model was applied to predict operative mortality (in-hospital or 30-day) in 401 684 patients undergoing coronary or valve surgery in 1998 and 1999 as well as in 188 913 patients undergoing surgery in 1995 in the Society of Thoracic Surgeons (STS) database. Results: The proportion of isolated coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) was greater in STS patients (84%) than in Europe (65%). STS patients were also older (mean age 65.3 versus 62.5), and had more diabetes (30 versus 17%) and prior cardiac surgery (11 versus 7%). Other comorbidity was also significantly more prevalent in STS patients. EuroSCORE predicted overall mortality was virtually identical to the observed mortality (1998/1999: predicted 3.994%, observed 3.992%; 1995: observed and predicted 4.156%). Predicted mortality also closely matched observed mortality across the risk groups. Discrimination was good to very good for the population overall and for isolated CABG in both time periods, with the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve between 0.75 and 0.78. Conclusion: Despite substantial demographic differences between Europe and North America, EuroSCORE performs very well in the STS database, and can be recommended as a simple, additive risk stratification system on both sides of the Atlantic.

Key Words: European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation • Society of Thoracic Surgeons • Database • Risk stratification




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J Am Coll CardiolHome page
R. O. Bonow, B. A. Carabello, K. Chatterjee, A. C. de Leon Jr, D. P. Faxon, M. D. Freed, W. H. Gaasch, B. W. Lytle, R. A. Nishimura, P. T. O'Gara, et al.
ACC/AHA 2006 Guidelines for the Management of Patients With Valvular Heart Disease: A Report of the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association Task Force on Practice Guidelines (Writing Committee to Revise the 1998 Guidelines for the Management of Patients With Valvular Heart Disease) Developed in Collaboration With the Society of Cardiovascular Anesthesiologists Endorsed by the Society for Cardiovascular Angiography and Interventions and the Society of Thoracic Surgeons
J. Am. Coll. Cardiol., August 1, 2006; 48(3): e1 - e148.
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J Am Coll CardiolHome page
R. O. Bonow, B. A. Carabello, K. Chatterjee, A. C. de Leon Jr, D. P. Faxon, M. D. Freed, W. H. Gaasch, B. W. Lytle, R. A. Nishimura, P. T. O'Gara, et al.
ACC/AHA 2006 Practice Guidelines for the Management of Patients With Valvular Heart Disease: Executive Summary: A Report of the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association Task Force on Practice Guidelines (Writing Committee to Revise the 1998 Guidelines for the Management of Patients With Valvular Heart Disease) Developed in Collaboration With the Society of Cardiovascular Anesthesiologists Endorsed by the Society for Cardiovascular Angiography and Interventions and the Society of Thoracic Surgeons
J. Am. Coll. Cardiol., August 1, 2006; 48(3): 598 - 675.
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Ann. Thorac. Surg.Home page
F. Biancari, O.-P. Kangasniemi, J. Luukkonen, S. Vuorisalo, J. Satta, R. Pokela, and T. Juvonen
EuroSCORE predicts immediate and late outcome after coronary artery bypass surgery.
Ann. Thorac. Surg., July 1, 2006; 82(1): 57 - 61.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Eur. J. Cardiothorac. Surg.Home page
C.-J. Jakobsen, P. Torp, and E. Sloth
Assessment of left ventricular ejection fraction may invalidate the reliability of EuroSCORE.
Eur. J. Cardiothorac. Surg., June 1, 2006; 29(6): 978 - 982.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Eur. J. Cardiothorac. Surg.Home page
F. Seccareccia, C. A. Perucci, P. D'Errigo, and D. Fusco
Concerning the Editorial comment by Dr Menicanti.
Eur. J. Cardiothorac. Surg., May 1, 2006; 29(5): 858 - 859.
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Eur. J. Cardiothorac. Surg.Home page
C.-H. Yap, C. Reid, M. Yii, M. A. Rowland, M. Mohajeri, P. D. Skillington, S. Seevanayagam, and J. A. Smith
Validation of the EuroSCORE model in Australia.
Eur. J. Cardiothorac. Surg., April 1, 2006; 29(4): 441 - 446.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Eur. J. Cardiothorac. Surg.Home page
P. Gersbach, H. Tevaearai, J.-P. Revelly, P. Bize, R. Chiolero, and L. K. von Segesser
Are there accurate predictors of long-term vital and functional outcomes in cardiac surgical patients requiring prolonged intensive care?
Eur. J. Cardiothorac. Surg., April 1, 2006; 29(4): 466 - 472.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Ann. Thorac. Surg.Home page
N. Luciani, G. Nasso, A. Anselmi, F. Glieca, M. Gaudino, F. Girola, M. Piscitelli, M. Perisano, L. Martinelli, and G. Possati
Repeat Valvular Operations: Bench Optimization of Conventional Surgery
Ann. Thorac. Surg., April 1, 2006; 81(4): 1279 - 1283.
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Eur Heart JHome page
J. Nilsson, L. Algotsson, P. Hoglund, C. Luhrs, and J. Brandt
Comparison of 19 pre-operative risk stratification models in open-heart surgery
Eur. Heart J., April 1, 2006; 27(7): 867 - 874.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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J Am Coll CardiolHome page
M. J. Price, E. Cristea, N. Sawhney, J. A. Kao, J. W. Moses, M. B. Leon, R. A. Costa, A. J. Lansky, and P. S. Teirstein
Serial Angiographic Follow-Up of Sirolimus-Eluting Stents for Unprotected Left Main Coronary Artery Revascularization
J. Am. Coll. Cardiol., February 21, 2006; 47(4): 871 - 877.
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J Am Coll CardiolHome page
E. L. Hannan, C. Wu, E. V. Bennett, R. E. Carlson, A. T. Culliford, J. P. Gold, R. S.D. Higgins, O. W. Isom, C. R. Smith, and R. H. Jones
Risk Stratification of In-Hospital Mortality for Coronary Artery Bypass Graft Surgery
J. Am. Coll. Cardiol., February 7, 2006; 47(3): 661 - 668.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Ann. Thorac. Surg.Home page
N. Newall, A. D. Grayson, A. Y. Oo, N. D. Palmer, W. C. Dihmis, A. Rashid, and R. H. Stables
Preoperative White Blood Cell Count is Independently Associated With Higher Perioperative Cardiac Enzyme Release and Increased 1-Year Mortality After Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting
Ann. Thorac. Surg., February 1, 2006; 81(2): 583 - 589.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Eur. J. Cardiothorac. Surg.Home page
J. M. Bernal, J. Lorca, D. Prieto-Salceda, I. Pulitani, A. Ponton, I. Garcia, and J. M. Revuelta
Performance at 10 years of the CarboMedics 'Top-Hat' valve. Postclamping time is a predictor of mortality
Eur. J. Cardiothorac. Surg., February 1, 2006; 29(2): 144 - 149.
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CirculationHome page
I. K. Toumpoulis, C. E. Anagnostopoulos, D. G. Katritsis, J. J. DeRose Jr, and D. G. Swistel
The Impact of Preoperative Thrombolysis on Long-Term Survival After Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting
Circulation, August 30, 2005; 112(9_suppl): I-351 - I-357.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Eur Heart JHome page
R.E. Anderson, K. Klerdal, T. Ivert, N. Hammar, G. Barr, and A. Owall
Are even impaired fasting blood glucose levels preoperatively associated with increased mortality after CABG surgery?
Eur. Heart J., August 1, 2005; 26(15): 1513 - 1518.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Ann. Thorac. Surg.Home page
I. K. Toumpoulis, C. E. Anagnostopoulos, S. K. Toumpoulis, J. J. DeRose Jr, and D. G. Swistel
EuroSCORE Predicts Long-Term Mortality After Heart Valve Surgery
Ann. Thorac. Surg., June 1, 2005; 79(6): 1902 - 1908.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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HeartHome page
R De Maria, M Mazzoni, M Parolini, D Gregori, F Bortone, V Arena, and O Parodi
Predictive value of EuroSCORE on long term outcome in cardiac surgery patients: a single institution study
Heart, June 1, 2005; 91(6): 779 - 784.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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J. Thorac. Cardiovasc. Surg.Home page
J. J. DeRose Jr, I. K. Toumpoulis, S. K. Balaram, J. P. Ioannidis, S. Belsley, R. C. Ashton Jr, D. G. Swistel, and C. E. Anagnostopoulos
Preoperative prediction of long-term survival after coronary artery bypass grafting in patients with low left ventricular ejection fraction
J. Thorac. Cardiovasc. Surg., February 1, 2005; 129(2): 314 - 321.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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ChestHome page
I. K. Toumpoulis, C. E. Anagnostopoulos, J. J. DeRose Jr, and D. G. Swistel
The Impact of Deep Sternal Wound Infection on Long-term Survival After Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting
Chest, February 1, 2005; 127(2): 464 - 471.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Eur. J. Cardiothorac. Surg.Home page
I. K. Toumpoulis, C. E. Anagnostopoulos, D. G. Swistel, and J. J. DeRose Jr
Does EuroSCORE predict length of stay and specific postoperative complications after cardiac surgery?
Eur. J. Cardiothorac. Surg., January 1, 2005; 27(1): 128 - 133.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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ICVTSHome page
C.-C. Chen, C.-C. Wang, S.-R. Hsieh, H.-W. Tsai, H.-J. Wei, and Y. Chang
Application of European system for cardiac operative risk evaluation (EuroSCORE) in coronary artery bypass surgery for Taiwanese
Interactive CardioVascular and Thoracic Surgery, December 1, 2004; 3(4): 562 - 565.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Eur. J. Cardiothorac. Surg.Home page
B. Zingone, A. Pappalardo, and L. Dreas
Logistic versus additive EuroSCORE. A comparative assessment of the two models in an independent population sample
Eur. J. Cardiothorac. Surg., December 1, 2004; 26(6): 1134 - 1140.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Ann. Thorac. Surg.Home page
J. Nilsson, L. Algotsson, P. Hoglund, C. Luhrs, and J. Brandt
EuroSCORE Predicts Intensive Care Unit Stay and Costs of Open Heart Surgery
Ann. Thorac. Surg., November 1, 2004; 78(5): 1528 - 1534.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Ann. Thorac. Surg.Home page
D. M. Shahian, E. H. Blackstone, F. H. Edwards, F. L. Grover, G. L. Grunkemeier, D. C. Naftel, S. A.M. Nashef, W. C. Nugent, and E. D. Peterson
Cardiac Surgery Risk Models: A Position Article
Ann. Thorac. Surg., November 1, 2004; 78(5): 1868 - 1877.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Eur. J. Cardiothorac. Surg.Home page
S. Karthik, A. K. Srinivasan, A. D. Grayson, M. Jackson, D. A.C. Sharpe, D. J.M. Keenan, B. Bridgewater, and B. M. Fabri
Limitations of additive EuroSCORE for measuring risk stratified mortality in combined coronary and valve surgery{star}
Eur. J. Cardiothorac. Surg., August 1, 2004; 26(2): 318 - 322.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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J. Thorac. Cardiovasc. Surg.Home page
B. Medalion, D. Meirson, E. Hauptman, L. Sasson, and A. Schachner
Initial experience with the Heartstring proximal anastomotic system
J. Thorac. Cardiovasc. Surg., August 1, 2004; 128(2): 273 - 277.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Eur. J. Cardiothorac. Surg.Home page
N. Kang, T. Cole, V. Tsang, M. Elliott, and M. de Leval
Risk stratification in paediatric open-heart surgery
Eur. J. Cardiothorac. Surg., July 1, 2004; 26(1): 3 - 11.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Eur. J. Cardiothorac. Surg.Home page
A. Gogbashian, A. Sedrakyan, and T. Treasure
EuroSCORE: a systematic review of international performance
Eur. J. Cardiothorac. Surg., May 1, 2004; 25(5): 695 - 700.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Ann. Thorac. Surg.Home page
M. J. Jurmann, H. Siniawski, M. Erb, T. Drews, and R. Hetzer
Initial experience with miniature axial flow ventricular assist devices for postcardiotomy heart failure
Ann. Thorac. Surg., May 1, 2004; 77(5): 1642 - 1647.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Ann. Thorac. Surg.Home page
J. Nilsson, L. Algotsson, P. Hoglund, C. Luhrs, and J. Brandt
Early mortality in coronary bypass surgery: the EuroSCORE versus The Society of Thoracic Surgeons risk algorithm
Ann. Thorac. Surg., April 1, 2004; 77(4): 1235 - 1239.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Int J Qual Health CareHome page
C. Ugolini and L. Nobilio
Risk adjustment for coronary artery bypass graft surgery: an administrative approach versus EuroSCORE
Int. J. Qual. Health Care, April 1, 2004; 16(2): 157 - 164.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Eur. J. Cardiothorac. Surg.Home page
I. K. Toumpoulis, C. E. Anagnostopoulos, J. J. DeRose, and D. G. Swistel
European system for cardiac operative risk evaluation predicts long-term survival in patients with coronary artery bypass grafting
Eur. J. Cardiothorac. Surg., January 1, 2004; 25(1): 51 - 58.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]




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