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Eur J Cardiothorac Surg 2005;27:1129
© 2005 Elsevier Science NL


Letter to the Editor

Prognoses from the logistic EuroSCORE are statistical estimates that require confidence intervals

Oliver Kussa,*, Jochen Börgermannb

a Institute of Medical Epidemiology, Biostatistics, and Informatics, Medical Faculty, University of Halle-Wittenberg, Magdeburger Str. 27, 06097 Halle (Saale), Germany
b Department of Cardiac- and Thoracic Surgery, Medical Faculty, University of Halle-Wittenberg, Halle (Saale), Germany

Received 21 December 2004; accepted 22 February 2005.

* Corresponding author. Tel.: +49 345 557 3582; fax: +49 345 557 3580. (E-mail: oliver.kuss@medizin.uni-halle.de).

Key Words: EUROScore • Logistic EUROScore • Confidence intervals

The first 20% of the full text of this article appears below.

The EUROScore (European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation, [1]) has by now become an accepted system for predicting the risk of patients undergoing cardiac surgery. Despite its known deficiencies, the score is the most rigorously evaluated scoring system in cardiac surgery [2]. Just recently, an enhanced version—the logistic EuroSCORE—was designed. Based on a logistic regression model, this score can accurately predict 30-day mortality figures [3]. In our opinion, this model was carefully designed, fitted and described and we expect and hope the logistic . . . [Full Text of this Article]







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Copyright © 2005 European Association for Cardio-Thoracic Surgery. Published by Elsevier. All rights reserved.