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Eur J Cardiothorac Surg 2000;18:425-428
© 2000 Elsevier Science NL
a Department of Cardio-thoracic Surgery, United Medical and Dental Schools of Guy's and St Thomas Hospitals, London SE1 9RT, UK
b The Clinical PET Centre, United Medical and Dental Schools of Guy's and St Thomas Hospitals, London SE1 9RT, UK
c Department of Public Health Sciences, United Medical and Dental Schools of Guy's and St Thomas Hospitals, London SE1 9RT, UK
Received 7 September 1999; received in revised form 19 June 2000; accepted 12 July 2000.
Corresponding author. Tel. +44-171-955-5000; fax: +44-171-955-4858
e-mail: julian.dussek{at}tebolds.demon.co.uk
| Abstract |
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Key Words: Lung neoplasm Positron emission tomography Surgery Prognosis
| 1. Introduction |
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The amount of FDG taken up by the abnormal lesion can be represented by semiquantitative measures, such as the standardized uptake value (SUV) or ratio (SUR), and made comparable between patients [4]. Previous studies have correlated FDG uptake with lung tumour growth rate [5]. We have previously reported on the greater sensitivity, specificity and accuracy of PET over computed tomography (CT) in the staging of primary lung cancer [2]. A strong correlation between FDG uptake and subsequent survival in lung cancer patients has been reported [6]. In this study, we have retrospectively analyzed our PET scanning data to further assess any such prognostic relation between the SUV of the primary lung lesion and patient survival.
| 2. Materials and methods |
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All PET imaging was performed at the Clinical PET Centre at St Thomas Hospital, London, UK, on an ECAT 951/31R system (Siemens CTI/Knoxville, TN). Patients were fasted for 6 h and had their baseline serum glucose measured prior to scanning. Each patient received 350 MBq of FDG intravenously and the thoracic emission data was acquired at a mean time of 81 min post injection. The 18-fluorine isotope was produced in a Siemens RDS 112 cyclotron at the same centre. Attenuation correction of the thoracic images was made following transmission scans using a germanium-68 source. The spatial resolution of the attenuation corrected thoracic images was 13 mm.
Once reconstructed, the scan views (transaxial, coronal and sagittal) were viewed on a SUN workstation and reported by two nuclear physicians who were blinded to the patient history. A third reporter resolved any dissimilar reports. Using the standard equation [7], the SUV was calculated for each abnormal primary lesion above 10 mm in size from the attenuation corrected thoracic images. This analysis did not include the mediastinal lymph nodes.
Disease staging was carried out as per the consensus tumour/node/metastasis (TNM) definitions [8] on the basis of clinical, laboratory and bronchoscopic evaluation, as well as on CT criteria and PET analysis. Histological diagnosis was obtained from a combination of bronchoscopy, fine needle transthoracic biopsy, or at thoracotomy. Deaths were recorded from the Thames Cancer Registry, which keeps records of all cancer-related deaths.
2.1. Data analysis
All statistical analysis was performed on the Stata Statistical Software (Stata Corporation, TX). Cox regression for standard variables was used for the univariate analysis of age, sex, SUV, disease stage and histology. Hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were also calculated. A P value of <0.05 was considered significant. KaplanMeier survival values were obtained for different SUV levels.
| 3. Results |
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Fig. 1
shows KaplanMeier estimates at SUV levels of 15 and 20. The median survival in months (HR and 95% CI) of patients at various SUV levels or above were as follows: 33 patients with SUV
10 (HR, 1.3; with CI, 0.72.6) had a median survival of 25 months; 23 patients with SUV
12 (HR, 1.7; with CI, 0.83.2) had a median survival of 22 months; 12 patients with SUV
15 (HR, 2.3; with 95% CI, 1.05.0) had a median survival of 9 months; and the six patients with SUV
20 (HR, 4.7; with 95% CI, 1.911.4) had a median survival of only 6 months. Fig. 1 shows the KaplanMeier estimates at SUV levels at or above 15 and 20.
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| 4. Discussion |
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Despite the initial reservations, just a few years ago by the American Thoracic Society and the European Respiratory Society, about the role of PET in lung cancer, numerous studies, including our own [2], have reported on the greater sensitivity and specificity of PET over CT in the mediastinal staging of bronchogenic carcinoma [2,1013]. In our previous study, we also reported on its positive role in diagnosing unsuspected distant metastases, as well as in altering the management in 37% of the patients referred for surgical resection [2].
Our results from the present study confirm the recently reported association between SUV of the primary lung lesion with patient outcome [6]. Ahuja et al. [6] reported a significant correlation between a SUV of >10 and poor outcome with a median survival of 11.4 months. This was reduced to 5.7 months if the tumour size exceeded 3 cm in size. When analyzing median survival estimates, we have found a similar prognostic value of PET scanning for patients with lung cancer at SUVs of 15 and above. Our results show a dismal prognosis above a SUV of 20, at which the median survival is only 6 months. However, median survival times are not statistically helpful in a study of this size and follow-up. This is because in some of the SUV groups, less than half of the patients die during the study period, and therefore, there is no median survival time. In addition, the significance level at SUV
15 is misleading in that some patients in this group are also in the SUV>20 group. Additionally, choosing an optimal cut-off SUV with the best discriminative value would amount to choosing one with the largest effect after looking at the data. This clearly would have been a biased analysis. We have therefore analyzed the data with reference to SUV range groups and correlated this with the chance of survival to a fixed point (12 months) post-operatively. In this way, the significance of SUV with respect to survival only occurs at or above an SUV of 20, this being the nearest whole number discriminative value.
Interpretation of the FDG-PET images has its limitations [14]. False negative results are possible with low-grade malignancy, microscopic malignant lesions below the size of resolution, hyperglycaemia and highly metabolic adjacent sites. False positives can occur with active infection, acute inflammation, recent surgical wounds and muscle hypermetabolism. Despite this, with good clinical judgement and with the additional anatomical information provided by the CT scan, PET appears to have a definitive place in the management of lung cancer. In addition to its non-invasive nature, a greater accuracy in staging and possible cost effectiveness [15], it has certainly in our practice not only reduced the number of mediastinal biopsy procedures, but now offers a further advantage with its prognostic value.
| Footnotes |
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| Appendix A. Conference discussion |
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Mr Dhital: It has certainly reduced the number of mediastinal biopsies that are being performed.
Dr W. Weder (Zurich, Switzerland): You correlated the prognosis with the FDG uptake, but you didn't show us the TNM stage. How was this correlated?
Mr Dhital: We have previously reported [2] on the lack of correlation between SUV and tumour stage. While you find a correlation between SUV and tumour size, there does not appear to be a correlation between SUV and staging or histological diagnosis.
Dr J. Hasse (Freiburg, Germany): One of the limitations of PET, so far as I know, is the size of tumour or metastasis. What is the critical size when a metastasis or malignant cells can be detected with modern PET facilities?
Mr Dhital: In this particular study, the PET resolution was used at 13 mm on CT-positive lesions of 10 mm or more.
Dr Hasse: Well, it could be that a small tumour with a high metabolism will be indicated by the PET even if it is only 5 mm of size. Are you informed about the critical size by your PET specialists?
Mr Dhital: We use a 13 mm resolution. But, having said that, if the SUV is below 2.5, we accept that to be a benign lesion.
Mr K. Jeyasingham (Bristol, UK): You did say that there was no correlation to TNM. But did you in your series have any correlation between the SUV and the cellular differentiation of the tumour itself? That may have a role.
Mr Dhital: We haven't looked into that.
Mr J. Cockburn (Aberdeen, UK): Can I just ask the audience how many people have access to PET scanning in their practice?
(Show of hands)
It's quite a high percentage. Cost is one of the problems still, isn't it? Have you any comments on that just before we leave this subject?
Mr Dhital: Currently, the cost in our centre is over £700/scan. But that I think can be reduced substantially with gamma counter machines to about a couple of hundred pounds. Hopefully, the prices will keep coming down.
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