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Eur J Cardiothorac Surg 2003;23:595-598
© 2003 Elsevier Science NL
a Arturo Pinna Pintor Foundation, Via Vespucci 61, 10129 Turin, Italy
b Monzino Foundation Heart Center, Milan, Italy
c Cardioteam, Turin, Italy
Received 28 September 2002; received in revised form 17 December 2002; accepted 22 December 2002.
* Corresponding author. Tel.: +30-011-5802365; fax: +30-011-5683893
e-mail: fondazione{at}pinnapintor.it
e-mail: http://www.pinnapintor.it
| Abstract |
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6863±861 €; 34
8292±3714 €; 56
8908±3480 €; 78
10,462±6123 €; 910
13,711±12,634 €; >10
21,353±18,507 €. Excluding EuroSCORE from the preoperative logistic model, age, preoperative creatinine, critical condition, ejection fraction, re-operation and sex were independently correlated with costs. Conclusions: From our data the EuroSCORE model developed to predict (30-day postoperative) hospital mortality could be used to predict direct operative costs and identify patients with different levels of resource consumption.
Key Words: Costs Risk models Cardiac surgery
| 1. Introduction |
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Despite an increase of average perioperative mortality risk1,2, since older patients, more acute, and with more co-morbidity, are referred to cardiac surgery3, the hospital mortality was unchanged or slightly reduced1 [2,3]. Meanwhile an increase of postoperative complications led to an increase of surviving patients, but at the cost of a higher rate of complications [4], of prolonged intensive care unit (ICU) length of stay (LOS) [57] and of a remarkable increase of individual costs [8,9].
The identification of candidates to cardiac surgery at risk of prolonged stay in ICU and relative higher costs may be useful in order to allocate limited resources both for budgetary reasons and for negotiating the prospective charges with public and private financing institutions. At present there are no available statistical models, specifically validated, to predict individual costs in cardiac surgery.
In order to assess whether a preoperative predictive model, designed to identify the mortality risk in cardiac surgery, can also be applied to predict costs, we compared in our population the preoperative risk stratification obtained using the EuroSCORE model [10], or the single variables of the EuroSCORE model, with costs.
| 2. Materials and methods |
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The direct variable costs (disposable materials, diagnostic tests, drugs, laboratory test and blood components) were prospectively collected. We decided to exclude hospital fixed costs and surgical team costs because they are related to specific activities and it is not possible to generalize them to other Institutions. The EuroSCORE subdivides patients in three main risk groups (low, medium, and high risk). In order to have a more detailed analysis of the relationship between costs and the EuroSCORE we decided to divide the preoperative mortality risk of patients in six groups of increasing risk and then we calculated the mean costs.
A linear regression analysis with the log-transformed direct costs was used to explore the association of the EuroSCORE model and its variables with costs. A covariance analysis (ANCOVA) using direct costs as dependent variable was used with two models: the first one including only clinical and operative variables in the explanatory model and the second including also the EuroSCORE.
| 3. Results |
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Table 1 describes the variables used to calculate the EuroSCORE of our population and the operating and follow-up characteristics. According to EuroSCORE 117 (24%) were at low, 187 (38%) at medium, and 184 (38%) at high risk. The mean ICU-LOS was 2.3±4.1 days and the postoperative LOS was 8.2±5.3 days. The overall crude 30 day mortality was 4.7% (23 patients).
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| 4. Discussion |
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Furthermore, some of the variables included in the EuroSCORE model showed an independent association with costs. This should be kept in mind when it should be decided whether to refer a patient to cardiac surgery, because patients with these risk factors, alone or differently combined, could have higher costs, lower cost-benefit relation and probably longer ICU-LOS in addition to higher mortality risk. Thus, it would be desirable that another form of medical or surgical treatment will be suggested in this subset of higher risk patients. If our data are confirmed by other investigations, cardiologists, and cardiac surgeons will have more information to include into the decision model. We should be aware that the decision to refer a patient to cardiac surgery should not be confined only to the risk of death, but also to the risk of long and costly hospital stays that are translated into a painful anguish for either the patient or his/her relatives. Shortly, all European centers will be able to automatically calculate the preoperative EuroSCORE of each patient, so that surgeons will have a simple tool to check their performance and to improve their outcome not only in terms of mortality but also of quality of life for their own patients.
| Acknowledgments |
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| Footnotes |
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1 From http://www.clevelandclinic.org/heartcenter/pub/about/default.asp ![]()
2 From http://www.scts.org/doc/5483 ![]()
3 From http://space.tin.it/salute/ppinnapi/symp2000/edwards.htm ![]()
| Appendix A. Conference discussion |
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Dr Pintor: Is it a comment or a question?
Dr Wahlers: The length of the ICU stay, because you have given only the mean of all your patients, and the relation to the EuroSCORE.
Dr Pintor: The length of stay is 2.5 days.
Dr Wahlers: Right, and my question is whether you have looked up if the ICU stay is proportional, longer, in the patients with the higher EuroSCORE.
Dr Pintor: Yes, in another study, that was not presented here, we found a statistically significant correlation between the EuroSCORE and the ICU and postoperative length of stay.
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