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Eur J Cardiothorac Surg 2007;31:817-820. doi:10.1016/j.ejcts.2007.02.010
Copyright © 2007, European Association for Cardio-Thoracic Surgery. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved
a University of Connecticut School of Pharmacy, Storrs, CT, United States
b University of Connecticut School of Medicine, Farmington, CT, United States
c Divisions of Drug Information and Cardiology, Hartford Hospital, Hartford, CT, United States
Received 12 October 2006; received in revised form 20 December 2006; accepted 12 February 2007.
* Corresponding author. Address: Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Studies Group, Hartford Hospital, 80 Seymour Street, CB309, Hartford, CT 06102, United States. Tel.: +1 860 545 2096; fax: +1 860 545 2277. (Email: ccolema{at}harthosp.org).
| Abstract |
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Key Words: Postoperative atrial fibrillation Renin-angiotensin-system Cardiac surgery
| 1. Introduction |
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In two recent meta-analyses not involving cardiac surgery patients, it was determined that chronic therapy with an angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitor (ACEI) or angiotensin receptor blocker (ARB) could reduce patients odds of developing new-onset atrial fibrillation (AF) by nearly one-half [56]. Various potential explanations exist for an ACEIs or ARBs ability to prevent AF, including their ability to decrease left atrial stretching (secondary to afterload reduction and stroke volume increases), preserve serum potassium concentrations or reduce pathogenic atrial remodeling [78].
Over the past several years, our research group has conducted two randomized and controlled clinical trials evaluating different modalities to prevent POAF [910]. Together, the most recent atrial fibrillation suppression trials II and III (AFIST II and III) have evaluated over 300 cardiac surgery patients in a prospective and scientifically rigorous manner and consequently could serve as an excellent source of data to conduct a cohort study. Since there is a paucity of data evaluating an ACEI or ARB to prevent POAF, we sought to determine whether the preoperative utilization of these drugs could prevent the development of atrial fibrillation following cardiac surgery.
| 2. Methods |
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Data in respect to patient demographics, surgical characteristics, medication utilization and the incidence of POAF were all prospectively and uniformly collected as part of the AFIST II and III trials. In both trials, the primary endpoint for all patients was the development of POAF within 30 days of cardiac surgery and was defined as any AF lasting more than 5 min in duration and documented by telemetry either during the index hospital admission or at any follow-up visit [910].
2.2 Statistical analysis
Continuous variables are presented as means with standard deviations and were compared between groups using a Student's t-test. Dichotomous variables are presented as percentages and were compared between groups using a Chi-square test or Fisher's exact test, when appropriate.
As this was an observation study, the investigators had no control over which patients received an ACEI or ARB and which did not. As a result, significant differences in important observed demographic, surgical and medication utilization characteristics were likely to occur which could lead to a biased estimate of treatment effect. Therefore, we conducted multivariate logistic regression to control for potential confounders in our evaluation. We first conducted univariate analysis to examine the association between the occurrence of the endpoint of interest (dependant variable; development of POAF) and demographic, surgical and medication utilization characteristics (independent variables). All variables with a p-value of
0.2 in the univariate analysis were entered into a multivariate logistic regression model. In the multivariate model, variables were selected by backward elimination, and a p-value <0.05 was considered significant. Adjusted odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals were calculated for all independent predictors. Statistical analysis was performed with SPSS version 11.0 (SPSS Inc., Chicago, IL).
| 3. Results |
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| 4. Discussion |
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= 0.05; ß
= 0.20), it was determined that a study enrolling approximately 600 subjects would be needed to discern if ACEIs or ARBs truly impact POAF. It is important to note that this 29% reduction in POAF with ACEIs and ARBs was seen in a population that already had a high background utilization of both beta-blockers (84%) and prophylactic amiodarone (38%), both of which are highly efficacious drugs in preventing POAF following cardiac surgery. Whether, an ACEI or ARB when administered alone would exert a larger or statistically significant effect is not known.
The safety of ACEI or ARB utilization in the setting of cardiac surgery has also not been adequately evaluated. Both classes of drugs may have the potential to increase patients risk of developing a pre-renal azotemia via vasodilatation of the efferent renal arterioles and resultant reductions in glomerular filtration. Renal endpoint data was not collected as part of the AFIST II or III trials and therefore we were unable to assess this important safety endpoint. We recommend any future trials evaluating ACEIs or ARBs to prevent POAF also evaluate the incidence of renal insufficiency, acute renal failure and the need for hemodialysis.
This study does have some limitations. First, while we were able to assign patients to either the ACEI or ARB cohort or the no ACEI or ARB cohort, sufficient data was not available to assess the effect of duration of therapy on POAF. Secondly, as this was a cohort study, investigators did not dictate the use of ACEIs or ARBs. This lack of randomization in observational studies could introduce both confounding and biases that can reduce a study's internal validity. A number of characteristics of our study may have helped to limit the effects of confounding and biases on our results. Our use of multivariate logistic regression to calculate adjusted odds ratios likely minimized much of the effect of confounding during statistical analysis. Data on most of the commonly accepted independent predictors of POAF identified in the American Heart Association's and American College of Cardiology's cardiac AF guidelines [11] were available for use in multivariate adjustment. Additionally, the use of data from the previously conducted, prospective, randomized and controlled AFIST II and III trials likely prevented or reduced the unwanted effects of many common types of biases including selection, misclassification, surveillance and researcher bias [910].
| 5. Conclusion |
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| References |
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