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Eur J Cardiothorac Surg 2007;31:851-859. doi:10.1016/j.ejcts.2007.02.009
Copyright © 2007, European Association for Cardio-Thoracic Surgery. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved
Departments of Cardio-Thoracic Surgery, Cardiology, and Public Health, Erasmus University Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
Received 9 September 2006; received in revised form 5 January 2007; accepted 8 February 2007.
* Corresponding author. Address: Department of Cardio-Thoracic Surgery, Bd563, ErasmusMC, P.O. Box 2040, 3000 CA, Rotterdam, The Netherlands. Tel.: +31 10 4635413; fax: +31 10 4633993. (Email: j.j.m.takkenberg{at}erasmusmc.nl).
| Abstract |
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Key Words: Aortic valve replacement Allografts Prognosis Reoperation
| 1. Introduction |
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In our own institution we started using allografts for aortic valve replacement in the late 80s, assuming that their durability would be better compared to xenografts, their hemodynamic profile superior to mechanical prostheses and xenografts, and because they offer (in particular young adult) patients the option to live life to the full without the limitations and threats of anticoagulation that would be required after implantation of a mechanical prosthesis. We systematically and carefully follow patients over time and are now able to make statements about valve performance and patient outcome well into the second decade after operation.
The aim of this study is to assess whether allografts are indeed the biological valve substitute of choice in non-elderly patients. This is done by describing the clinical results of aortic valve and root replacement with allografts in our center's prospective cohort study, and comparing the performance of allografts with stented porcine and pericardial bioprostheses in a simulated age-matched population.
| 2. Materials and methods |
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The study database was frozen for analysis on December 1, 2005. Follow-up was 98% complete: eight patients were lost to follow-up due to emigration. The mean follow-up duration was 7.4 years (range 018.5 years), with a total follow-up of 2545 patient years.
2.3 Statistical methods
Continuous data are presented as means (standard deviation, range), and comparison was done using the unpaired t-test unless the data were not normally distributed (KolmogorovSmirnov test); in these instances we used the MannWhitney U-test for comparison. Categorical data are presented as proportions, and comparison was done using the Chi-square test or the Fisher exact test, where appropriate. All tests were two-sided, with an
-level of 0.05. Univariate logistic regression analysis was used to study potential determinants of hospital mortality. Cumulative survival and freedom from reoperation or reintervention were analyzed using the KaplanMeier method. The survival of a patient started at the time of aortic valve operation and ended at the time of death (event) or at the last follow-up (censoring). The analysis of allograft survival started at the time of implantation and ended with reoperation (event) or last follow-up or patient death (censoring). The TyroneWare test was used to compare KaplanMeier curves between surgical techniques (correcting for the differences in follow-up time between the groups). The Cox proportional hazards model was used for univariate and multivariate analysis of time-related events. Backward-stepwise or forward-stepwise selection of potential predictors was employed, with criteria for entering variables: p
< 0.05. Variables that were tested as potential risk factors for hospital and late mortality were: patient age (continuous variable expressed in years), gender, preoperative ventilation support, preoperative abnormal cardiac rhythm (any rhythm other that sinus rhythm), preoperative renal function (creatinin, continuous variable expressed in µmol/l), severe renal disease requiring either dialysis or transplantation, prior cardiac surgery, Marfan disease, ischemic heart disease, heart valve disease etiology, preoperative hypertension, systolic left ventricular function (good vs impaired/moderate/bad), prior cerebrovascular accident (CVA), preoperative NYHA class, emergency of the procedure, operative technique, cardiopulmonary bypass time (continuous variable expressed in minutes), and time period of operation (before 1998 vs after 1998). Factors that were tested as potential risk factors for reoperation for structural valve deterioration (SVD) were: patient age (continuous variable expressed in years), gender, severe renal disease requiring either dialysis or transplantation, prior cardiac surgery, heart valve disease etiology, preoperative hypertension, operative technique, surgical experience (considering the first 10 cases of an individual surgeon as inexperienced), allograft characteristics (including aortic vs pulmonary allograft, size allograft (continuous variable expressed in millimeters), type donor, donor age, donor gender, preservation method, quality code), donorrecipient sex mismatch, and time period of operation (before 1998 vs after 1998). For all analyses mentioned above SPSS 12.0 for Windows statistical software (SPSS, Chicago, Ill.) was used. Using Egret, the incidence of structural valve deterioration requiring reoperation was described by a Weibull curve, which is a generalization of the exponential distribution that accommodates a changing risk over time [79]. An age parameter that was based on the observed relationship between patient age and structural valve deterioration was added to the Weibull model, allowing for patient age-specific calculations for structural valve deterioration [10,11]. The age-specific Weibull model was entered into a previously developed microsimulation model [12,13] to allow comparison of age-specific patient lifetime risk of reoperation for allografts, and stented porcine and pericardial bioprostheses [14]. The details of the parameters that were used for the microsimulation calculations of the CarpentierEdwards (CE) pericardial and CE-Supra-annular valve (SAV) bioprostheses were previously published [14]. For each patient age group and valve type, 10,000 patient lives were simulated; background mortality of the general US population was used.
| 3. Results |
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3.2 Late survival
During follow-up another 54 patients died (2.1%/patient year). Of these patients, 36 died of non-valve-related causes. In two patients the cause of death could not be retrieved. Causes of valve-related death (N
= 16) were as follows: nine patients died sudden, unexpected, and unexplained deaths; three patients died due to endocarditis; two patients who had structural allograft valve failure died of heart failure; one patient died after a CVA; and one patient died due to a major bleeding. Overall cumulative survival including early survival was 92.7% at 1 year (95% CI 9096%), 86% at 5 years (95% CI 8290%), and 71% at 12 years postoperative (95% CI 6577%). In Fig. 2
cumulative survival for patients operated with the subcoronary implantation technique and the root replacement technique is displayed separately (TyroneWare test, p
= 0.03). Independent predictors of late mortality were older patient age (HR 1.04, 95% CI 1.021.06; p
< 0.001 (continuous variable expressed in years)); preoperative ventilation support (HR 2.5, 95% CI 0.966.36; p
= 0.06); preoperative abnormal cardiac rhythm (HR 1.9, 95% CI 1.42.8; p
< 0.001); and the use of the root replacement technique (HR 2.2, 95% CI 1.22.4; p
= 0.02).
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3.4 Structural valve deterioration
In 39 patients structural valve deterioration caused by degeneration of the allograft was the reason for replacement of the allograft (1.5%/patient year). This occurred in 21 patients in the SC group (1.9%/patient year) and in 18 patients in the aortic root replacement (ARR) group (1.3%/patient year). Freedom from reoperation for structural valve deterioration (N
= 39) was 97% at 5 years (95% CI 9599) and 77% at 12 years (95% CI 6985%). This did not differ between the subcoronary compared to the root replacement technique group (TyroneWare test, p
= ns). Using univariate Cox regression modeling the following factors were found to be potential predictors of the occurrence of reoperation for SVD: patients who received a same-sex donor valve, valves from male donors, the implantation of larger donor valves, and younger patient age (continuous variable expressed in years). Combining these four factors in a multivariate model proved quite tedious since most of them (with the exception of patient age) are strongly correlated. Therefore, we changed our model building strategy from backward- to forward-stepwise selection and started by entering the only variable that was not strongly correlated, namely patient age. Addition of same-sex donor valve to this model revealed that when corrected for patient age, same-sex donor valve was no longer a significant predictor of SVD occurrence (HR 1.9, p
= 0.13) and we took it out. Next, addition of donor sex to the model showed that when corrected for patient age, male donor sex remained a significant predictor of SVD occurrence (HR 3.2, p
= 0.03), and we left it in the model. In the last step we added allograft diameter (continuous variable expressed in millimeters) to the model and found that, when corrected for patient age and donor sex, a larger allograft diameter was associated with increased SVD rates (HR 1.16, p
= 0.05) and male donor sex was no longer a significant predictor (HR 2.4, p
= 0.13). Therefore, in our final model independent predictors of structural valve deterioration requiring reoperation were younger patient age at the time of operation (HR 0.96, 95% CI 0.940.98 (age continuous variable expressed in years)) and larger allograft diameter (HR 1.2, 95% CI 1.061.40 (diameter continuous variable expressed in millimeters)). In Fig. 3
the observed freedom from reoperation from structural valve deterioration and the Weibull function representing the effect of patient age on freedom from structural valve deterioration are displayed. For example, for a 45-year-old patient, median time to reoperation for structural allograft valve deterioration was 16.5 years. The value of the age-dependent scale (
) parameter of the Weibull model, fitted to represent allograft SVD, was:
=
e
2.0755
+
0.0197
x
age. The shape parameter (ß) was estimated at 2.3856. The results of the Weibull model remained virtually unchanged when patients younger than 16 years or older than 65 years at the time of operation were excluded from the model.
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| 4. Discussion |
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4.1 Patient survival
Patient survival in our allograft cohort was comparable to other series that report survival after allograft aortic valve and root replacement [15,1720]. The impaired survival of patients undergoing allograft root replacement versus the subcoronary implantation technique can be explained by the differences in patient profile (less isolated valve disease, more active endocarditis, and complex root pathology) between the subcoronary implantation technique and the root replacement technique. Survival relative to the general age-matched Dutch population is markedly decreased, for example, a 45-year-old male in the general Dutch population has a 12-year survival of 94%, while after allograft aortic valve or root replacement, this is only 71%. This decreased relative survival has become a well-known phenomenon for patients after aortic valve replacement [21], with the exception of patients who undergo a Ross procedure [22,23]. Whether there is patient selection or a true survival advantage in Ross patients will remain a matter of debate until a randomized trial has been conducted.
4.2 Allograft durability
This study shows that allograft durability is age-dependent in non-elderly patients and comparable to two commonly used stented bioprostheses in age-matched individuals who undergo aortic valve replacement. Freedom from any valve-related reoperation was better using the root replacement technique compared to the subcoronary implantation technique. This is in accordance with the observations in a recent systematic review of the effect of allograft implantation technique on reoperation rate [24]. However, when only reoperation for degenerative structural valve deterioration is studied, reoperation rates are comparable between the two insertion techniques. Younger patient age is associated with increased reoperation rates for structural valve deterioration in this cohort, an observation that is confirmed by several other reports [16,18,19]. The effect of patient age on valve durability is also comparable to CE pericardial and CE-SAV stented bioprostheses, suggesting a common pathway of degeneration. This is in accordance with a recently published study from Cleveland, Ohio, that demonstrated comparable failure rates for allografts and stented bovine pericardial prostheses for patients at all adult ages [16]. Our study adds to this the observation that stented porcine bioprostheses also have a comparable age-related valve failure occurrence. Therefore, we can conclude that durability does not play an important factor in choosing either of these three valve types.
4.3 Patient risk of reoperation
Using microsimulation we demonstrated that the actual patient lifetime risk of structural valve deterioration requiring reoperation is comparable for all three valve types. This risk ranges from approximately 15% for a 65-year-old patient to almost 70% in a 35-year-old patient. These evidence-based estimates of actual patient risk of structural valve failure requiring a reoperation may provide a useful tool for patient counseling, quantifying the risks associated with each therapeutic option. The demonstration simulation model (freeware) can be downloaded from our website (www.cardiothoracicresearch.nl) or requested by e-mail.
Reoperative mortality in our series was remarkably low, less than 2%. Although an allograft reoperation can be quite complicated, our results illustrate that it can be accomplished with a low reoperative mortality risk. Key is to closely monitor the patient over time, particularly in the second decade after operation when the risk of structural failure increases. This allows for careful planning of the reoperation, and avoids emergency reoperative procedures in decompensated patients.
4.4 Other valve-related complications
Although durability of allografts is comparable to the most commonly used stented bioprostheses, the occurrence of other valve-related complications is quite low. In particular, the annual occurrence rate of endocarditis is very low in our cohort, given that 22% of patients who received an allograft had an active endocarditis preoperatively. Also, thrombo-embolic and bleeding event rates are low in comparison to stented bioprostheses. However, this observed difference can at least in part be explained by the patient age difference between the allograft and stented bioprosthesis studies.
4.5 Changes in policy over time
Fig. 1 shows that early on in our experience we mainly used the subcoronary implantation technique while by the mid-90s the root replacement technique became the gold standard in our clinic for implanting an allograft in aortic position. As we reported previously, the subcoronary technique has a learning curve and its use resulted in our clinic in several early technical failures [4]. With the shift in surgical technique and due to the emerging disappointing durability outcomes, a change in patient profile took place: while early on in our series allograft aortic valve or root replacement was done in a broad range of patients that required aortic valve replacement, nowadays the main indication for the use of allografts is active endocarditis. Given its excellent resistance to infection, the allograft is a good solution for patients with active endocarditis, in particular, when the aortic root is involved. Allograft root replacement can also be considered for patients with a (relative) contraindication for anticoagulation and patients with aortic root pathology.
4.6 Limitations
Our study reports results from a single institution with a large proportion of patients with endocarditis and root pathology, and may thus not be applicable to all patients who require aortic valve replacement. We were unable to study allograft mismatch as a potential risk factor for the occurrence of structural valve deterioration since we do not systematically measure the recipient annulus at the time of operation. However, in the early postoperative phase only one patient had a gradient of more than 15 mmHg and, therefore, allograft mismatch appears uncommon in our series. Also, the microsimulation estimates that were used to calculate lifetime risks of structural valve deterioration requiring reoperation were largely based on pooled estimates of valve-related complications from published reports. This may have resulted in overestimates or underestimates of complications and, therefore, may have influenced the calculated lifetime risks. Furthermore, we assumed in the microsimulation analyses that all patients with structural valve deterioration were reoperated, while in real life this may not be the case.
4.7 Conclusions and recommendations
The use of allografts for AVR is associated with low occurrence rates of most valve-related events, but over time the risk of SVD increases, comparable to stented xenografts. Lifetime risk of reoperation is considerable, especially in younger patients. Careful follow-up of patients and early recognition of symptoms and signs of structural valve failure are the key to a successful reoperation. The allograft remains in our institute the preferred valve substitute only for patients with active aortic root endocarditis and for patients in whom anticoagulation should be avoided.
| Appendix A |
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Dr P. Kolh (Liege, Belgium): I think you are to be congratulated for a very precise and a very careful analysis. I would like to ask you two questions. The first one is I am not quite sure how you chose to define the other cohort, the cohort that you used for comparison and that included patients with a CarpentierEdwards valve. Are those patients who were operated at the precise same time in your institution or not? I think it should be precised.
And the second question, if I remember correctly, we saw that the survival for patients with subcoronary replacement was better, although they had more long-term deterioration. Can you explain this a little bit?
Dr Takkenberg: To answer your first question, the CarpentierEdwards pericardial valves were obtained from the premarket approval trial that was conducted in the 80s. So what we did is we obtained the primary data of that trial and superimposed the data on our data, and for the CE-SAV valve we used 1847 patients from Dr Jamieson's experience in Canada.
To answer your question with regard to survival, it is better in subcoronary patients, and on the other end, the freedom from reoperation is worse in subcoronary patients. I find it hard to compare the subcoronary group in our cohort with the root replacement group in our cohort. They are really different patient populations. If you look at the subcoronary patients, most of them had had isolated valve disease while what we see in our root replacement group, a large proportion has active endocarditis, has aneurysm and dissection, and that mainly explains why the survival is so different in the two groups.
Mr J. Pepper (London, United Kingdom): Do you have any information about the character of the donor that produced the homograft, in particular, the ischemic time and the relationship between the age of the donor and the age of the recipient?
Dr Takkenberg: We have detailed information on the donors, which I did not present right now because of time. When it comes to the age of the donor, in our previous report in the European Journal of Cardiothoracic Surgery, we saw that an older donor age was a risk factor for structural valve deterioration. However, we re-did this analysis, and in the multivariate model it is no longer a risk factor.
Mr Pepper: And the ischemic time before the cryopreservation, which is difficult to control?
Dr Takkenberg: It does not affect structural failure in our series.
| Footnotes |
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| References |
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M. Masuda, H. Kado, Y. Ando, A. Shiose, T. Nakano, K. Fukae, Y. Tanoue, and R. Tominaga Intermediate-term results after the aortic valve replacement using bileaflet mechanical prosthetic valve in children. Eur. J. Cardiothorac. Surg., July 1, 2008; 34(1): 42 - 47. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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