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Eur J Cardiothorac Surg 2007;32:20-28. doi:10.1016/j.ejcts.2007.03.018
Copyright © 2007, European Association for Cardio-Thoracic Surgery. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved
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a Department of Cardiothoracic Surgery, Second Affiliated Hospital, School of Medicine, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou 310009, China
b Department of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery, Shanghai Jiao Tong University Affiliated First People's Hospital, Shanghai 200080, China
Received 1 January 2007; received in revised form 7 March 2007; accepted 13 March 2007.
* Corresponding author. Tel.: +86 571 87783641; fax: +86 571 87022660. (Email: dr_dongaiqiang{at}sina.com).
| Abstract |
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Key Words: Meta-analysis Sleeve lobectomy Pneumonectomy Morbidity and mortality Survival analysis Non-small cell lung cancer
| 1. Introduction |
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Currently, SL is prone to be performed for such patients who could tolerate PN. Several studies have shown that long-term survival after SL is at least similar to or even better than that after PN with lower postoperative risks, better preservation of lung function, and better quality of life [68]. However, SL has been reported with a high bronchial postoperative complication [911] and a high operative mortality relative to PN [10,12,13], owing to the complex surgical procedure for SL. In contrast, other study pointed out that PN is associated with significant morbidity and mortality [14], including postpeumonectomy lung edema, acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS), bronchopleural fistula, and postpeumonectomy syndrome. Nonetheless, there are several reports revealing that PN does not adversely influence long-term survival [15,16].
In addition, when lung tumors involve not only the airway but also the central vascular structures, in particular the pulmonary artery, SL concomitant with pulmonary artery reconstruction (PAR) (double sleeve) remains as the only alternative to PN. However, this procedure has been slower to gain acceptance than reconstruction of bronchus alone.
This study aims to assess whether SL concomitant with or without PAR or PN offers a low morbidity and mortality and better long-term survival by mata-analysis which evaluate the published literature in a qualitative and quantitative way by comparing and integrating the results of different studies.
| 2. Materials and methods |
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2.2 Data extraction
Two reviewers independently extracted the following data from each study: first author, year of publication, study population characteristics, study size, study design, definition of mortality and recurrences, inclusion and exclusion criteria, time of follow-up, and survival data.
Survival data were sourced from the literature. The summary statistics included the log hazard ratios (log HRs) or hazard ratio (HRs) and associated variances. Estimation of the log HR and variance were from the published survival curves according to the methods suggested by Parmar et al. [17]. Briefly, survival probabilities for SL and PN were read from the survival curves at pre-specified non-overlapping time points. The number of patients alive and at risk was calculated for each time interval, as well as the effective number of patients censored, to generate the log HR and its variance during each time interval. As the log HRs are independent, an estimate of the overall log HR for each study can be given by a weighted sum of the individual estimates of the log HR during each time interval, using the inverse-variance weighting method [18].
2.3 Inclusion and exclusion criteria
Studies included in our analysis had to:
Studies were discarded, if:
2.4 Definition of outcomes of interest
SL and PN were compared with postoperative mortality, postoperative complications, locoregional recurrences, as well as survival outcomes. Survival outcome measures were analyzed by the difference of survival of the two techniques at 1 and 5 years, the difference of survival in patients with pN0 or pN1 and pN2 at 1 and 5 years, and overall survival.
2.5 Statistical analysis
Meta-analysis was carried out using odds ratio (OR), risk difference (RD), and HR as the summary statistics. The OR represents the odds of an adverse event occurring in the treatment (SL) group in comparison to the reference (PN) group. The RD means the difference of survival of patients subjected to two techniques at 1 and 5 years. An OR of less than 1, while a RD more than 0 favors SL group, and the point of estimate of the OR and RD is considered statistically significant at the p
< 0.05 level if the 95% confidence interval does not include the value 1 or 0, respectively. Yate's correction was used for those studies without events of interest in one of the two groups, which results in problems with the calculation of ratios and their standard error of the treatment effect. To solve this problem, we have added the conventional 0.5 to each cell in the contingency table of these trials [19].
In our study both fixed and random effect models were employed. The fixed effect model is based on the assumption that the treatment effect in each study is same, whereas the random effect model is based on the assumption that there is variation between studies. Thus, the ratios calculated in the random effect model are more conservative than those calculated in the fixed effect model [20]. In a meta-analysis of surgical research, the random effect model is preferable due to a number of sources of heterogeneity (HG) including varying risk profiles, selection criteria for each surgical technique, study design, study start date, and duration of follow-up [21].
The most appropriate summary statistics for survival-type data are the log HR and its variance, which allows for both censoring and time to an event [17]. Survival data were pooled by the DerSimonian and Laird method to produce a random effect meta-analysis. Heterogeneity between studies was investigated by the standard chi-squared Q-test. Pooled survival curve [22] across all studies for SL versus PN was generated, utilizing the methodology to estimate the log HR; however, the survival probabilities were extracted at a common series of time points, then pooled.
To determine clinical benefits of two techniques, three parameters were calculated: absolute reduction (ARR), which in this case is the difference in the incidence of events between SL and PN groups; number needed to treat (NNT), which is the number of patients who must be treated (in this case to be operated by SL) in order to prevent one event (NNT = 1/ARR); and median survival times and associated variances which were estimated from the pooled survival curve.
Analysis was performed by SPSS version 13.0 for Windows (SPSS Inc., Chicago, IL, USA), Microsoft Excel 2002 (Microsoft Corporation, USA), and Review Manager Version 4.2 (The Cochrane Collaboration, Oxford).
To quantitatively assess heterogeneity between studies, three strategies were employed as reported previously [21]. First, data were re-analyzed using both fixed- and random effect models. Secondly, publication bias was assessed by funnel plot. Thirdly, subgroup analysis was used for sensitive analysis. In subgroup analysis, the following variables were used:
| 3. Results |
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In Tables 1 and 2 are the characteristics of these studies. The distribution of stage between the SL group and the PN group was significantly different (stages I, II, and III: 37%, 37%, and 26% for SL; 20%, 33%, and 47% for PN; p < 0.001; 10 reports). Sex ratios for the two surgical groups showed statistically significant difference as well (male/female: 65%/35% for SL; 71%/29% for PN; p < 0.001; 11 reports). However, there was no difference in mean ages for the two groups (61.6 years for SL; 60.8 years for PN), although age distributions were not available.
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3.3 Postoperative complications
Eight studies [6,1012,23,24,26,29] reported the incidence of postoperative complications, and meta-analysis of these studies gave a pooled incidence of 31.3% (154/492) with SL and 31.6% (245/776) with PN (OR: 1.01; 95% CI: 0.701.44), which was not statistically significant (Fig. 1). The calculated ARR for SL versus PN was 0.3%, indicating the NNT would be 333. Subgroup analysis of studies with at least 50 patients in each group [6,11,12,23,29] produced an incidence of 30.8% (116/376) in SL as compared with 33.6% (192/571) in PN (OR: 0.93; 95% CI: 0.591.48), not revealing any significant difference between the two groups. Similar results were achieved when only recent studies [6,1012,26,29] were considered (incidence of 36.3% (142/391) in SL vs 33.3% (230/691) in PN; OR: 1.08; 95% CI: 0.721.63). This finding was reproduced in the case of matched studies [6,10,24] where the incidence of postoperative complications was 26.8% (37/138) in SL versus 26.8% (37/138) in PN (OR: 0.89; 95% CI: 0.352.27).
The weighted mean postoperative complications reported in three studies [31,32,34] for PAR was 32.4%, which was neither statistically significant as compared with SL group, nor was it significantly lower than that of PN.
3.4 Locoregional recurrences
This was reported in six studies [6,10,12,24,28,29] and meta-analysis of the resultant data showed the pooled locoregional recurrence in SL was 16.1% (72/447) as compared with 27.8% (402/1443) in PN, but did not reach statistical significance (OR: 0.91; 95% CI: 0.451.82), as shown in Fig. 1. The calculated ARR for SL versus PN was 11.7%, indicating the NNT would be 9. Similar results were achieved when only recent studies [6,10,12,28,29] were considered (incidence of 16.5% (69/418) in SL vs 28.0% (396/1414) in PN; OR: 1.02; 95% CI: 0.462.26). This finding was reproduced in the case of matched studies [6,10,24] where the incidence of locoregional recurrences was 17.0% (23/135) in SL versus 11.8% (16/136) in PN (OR: 1.29; 95% CI: 0.305.63). Considering the studies [6,12,28,29] with more than 50 patients in each group, the incidence of locoregional recurrences was 14.5% (54/372) with SL compared with 28.7% (392/1367) with PN, suggesting that this is statistically significant (OR: 0.58; 95% CI: 0.420.80).
3.5 Overall survival
Survival data from 10 studies [6,1012,2426,2830] were extracted, including 2708 patients, 761 in the SL group and 1947 in the PN group. A summary of individual studies and overall pooled survival is shown in Fig. 2
. The estimated combined HR for overall survival in 10 studies was 0.70 (95% CI: 0.620.79) in favor of SL group, which was statistically significant. Subgroup analysis of studies with at least 50 patients in each group [6,11,12,25,2830] (HR: 0.69; 95% CI: 0.610.78), and only recent studies [6,1012,26,2830] (HR: 0.71; 95% CI: 0.630.80) reached statistically significant difference. This result was reproduced in the case of matched studies [6,10,24], where the HR was 0.66, with 95% CI of 0.460.96.
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3.8 Differences of survival in patients with pN0 or pN1 and pN2 at 1 and 5 years
Two studies [6,11] reported the survival in patients with pN0, pN1, and pN2 at 1 and 5 years, as shown in Fig. 4. Meta-analysis of difference of survival in patients with pN0 or pN1 at 1 year demonstrated a pooled RD (SL vs PN) was 0.03 (95% CI: 0.080.13), which was not statistically significant. When difference of survival in patients with pN2 at 1 year was considered, the combined RD was 0.13 (95% CI: 0.000.25), and just reached statistical significance. Meta-analysis of difference of survival in patients with pN0 or pN1 at 5 years showed that pooled RD was 0.21 (95% CI: 0.070.36), which was statistically significant. Considering difference of survival in patients with pN2 at 5 years, the combined RD was 0.06 (95% CI: 0.100.21), indicating there was no difference between two groups.
3.9 Sensitivity analysis
In our study both fixed- and random effect models were employed for sensitivity analysis. The results for events in the SL group and PN group are shown in Table 3
. As for postoperative mortality, the heterogeneity test showed a lowest heterogeneity when only recent studies were considered (HG = 7.42, p
= 0.49). Similar results were achieved when the studies of more than 50 patients in each group were concerned (HG = 5.47, p
= 0.60). This finding was reproduced in the case of matched studies (HG = 1.64, p
= 0.44). With regard to postoperative complications, the heterogeneity test showed HG was 5.05 (p
= 0.08) for matched studies, 8.27 (p
= 0.08) for the studies of more than 50 patients in each group, and 9.84 (p
= 0.08) for recent studies. In the case of locoregional recurrences, the sensitivity analysis resulted in significant heterogeneity when the matched studies or the recent studies were considered, with HG of 7.24 (p
= 0.02), 13.66 (p
= 0.008), respectively, while still remaining relatively low heterogeneity (HG = 1.59, p
= 0.66) in the studies of more than 50 patients in each group.
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Publication bias was assessed using a funnel plot (Fig. 5 ) which showed the 12 studies used in our meta-analysis. The scatter plot resembles a symmetric inverted funnel (the 95% confidence interval), in which the treatment effects estimated from individual studies on the horizontal axis (OR), against a measure of study size on the vertical funnel (SE [log OR]). The plot is on the basis that precision in the estimation of the underlying treatment effect will increase with the increment of the sample size of the component studies [21].
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| 4. Discussion |
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The postoperative mortality, postoperative complications, and locoregional recurrences between the two groups did not differ significantly. It is worth noting that the postoperative mortality after SL (3.5%) approached statistical significance as compared with 5.7% after PN. Furthermore, in the fixed effect model, the postoperative mortality between the two groups was significantly different, which is in line with a meta-analysis [35] of comparisons between SL and PN in stage I and II NSCLC. In that study, the weighted mean postoperative mortality after SL was 4.1%, and 6.0% after PN.
In the time-to-event analysis, the HR is one of the most appropriate effect indexes to evaluate time-related effect of surgical procedures [17]. The death risk decreased by 30% in SL group compared with PN group. Moreover, as for survival probability difference, there was an increase trend, that was 12% at 1 year and 19% at 5 years. Median overall survival was increased in the SL group as well (60 months vs 26 months). However, the previous meta-analysis study [35] showed that 5-year survival rates were similar for the two techniques (SL: 51% vs PN: 49%) when corrections for stage distribution were calculated, that use of 5-year survival rate as an outcome in the decision model slightly favored SL over PN for managing stage I and II NSCLC, and that the mean median survivals were 70.5 months for SL and 55.2 months for PN, which was statistically significant.
The relationship between survival and lymph node status is unclear after patients were subjected to SL or PN. Our study demonstrated that survival difference in patients with pN2 at 1 year just reached statistical significance, that in patients with pN0 or pN1 at 5 years showed statistical difference, and that in patients with pN2 at 5 years indicated there was no difference between two groups. Our results were in agreement with another study [28] which reported that there was significant difference in 5-year survival between SL and PN for patients with pN0 or pN1, whereas 5-year survival for patients with pN2 or stage III disease was not significant. Together with the results indicate that a more radical operation such as PN is not a more appropriate procedure, even in higher stage tumors.
When only the matched studies were concerned, there were no significant differences for postoperative mortality, postoperative complications, locoregional recurrences, survival difference at 1 year, or survival difference at 5 years between the two techniques. Therefore, further studies with strict criteria and good study design are needed to investigate the clinical benefits of two techniques.
There have been rare reports on PAR in the literature so far, which may in part due to high risk, complicated surgical procedures, and decreased long-term survival [13]. Our meta-analysis on recent results showed that the surgical outcomes of PAR were not only comparable to SL with 3.3% for the operative mortality, 32.4% for the postoperative complications, and 38.7% for the 5-year survival, but better than those of PN. These indicate that PAR combined with SL is as safe as SL for the treatment of NSCLC.
The limitations of our meta-analysis were as follows. First, definitions for postoperative mortality and locoregional recurrences were different, as illustrated in Table 1. Secondly, stage distribution between the SL group and the PN group was quite different, which might lead to unreliable results and favor the SL group. Thirdly, no randomized data were available for comparing SL and PN and the treatment protocol for NSCLC was somewhat different among institutions, all of which made the analysis and comparison difficult. Fourthly, it is of great importance to bear in mind publication bias, especially in meta-analytic research based on published retrospective studies. Fifthly, the absence of generalized and commonly shared guidelines for the set-up and data reporting also disturbed our meta-analysis. Sixthly, the population in PAR group is quit small as compared with the SL or PN group.
In the present study, 16 of the 17 studies were retrospective because a randomized prospective trial is not possible to perform. The reason for this difficulty is: (1) the final decision to perform SL or PN has to be taken during the operative procedure; (2) the small number of cases available for study; and (3) the definition of eligibility. Despite the obvious bias related to retrospective nature, meta-analysis of these non-randomized studies provides the most reliable information, which is a suggested approach to search for the best evidence in the absence of well-controlled randomized studies [36].
In summary, our study demonstrates that SL with or without PAR is effective and can be accomplished safely in selected patients without increasing the morbidity and mortality as compared to PN, that SL even with PAR offers better long-term survival than does PN, and that a more radical operation such as PN is not a more appropriate procedure, even in higher stage tumors.
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